Exam code:1ST0
Distribution of Sample Means
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It is possible to take several different samples from a population, and calculate the mean for each sample
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The set of sample means is more closely distributed than the individual data values from the population
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e.g. the range of the set of sample means is smaller than the range for the entire population
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This is because the mean for each sample is in between the biggest and smallest values in the sample
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and therefore in between the biggest and smallest values in the population
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Worked Example
For each year group in a secondary school, the following table gives the smallest height, mean height, and greatest height for students in that year group.
|
year |
smallest height (cm) |
mean height (cm) |
greatest height (cm) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
7 |
132 |
146 |
161 |
|
8 |
136 |
152 |
167 |
|
9 |
142 |
159 |
175 |
|
10 |
148 |
164 |
182 |
|
11 |
151 |
167 |
187 |
(a) Calculate the range for all the students in the school.
The smallest height in the school is 132 cm from Year 7
The greatest height is 187 cm from Year 11
Subtract those to find the range for the school
55 cm
(b) Calculate the range of the mean heights for the different year groups.
The smallest mean is 146 cm for Year 7
The greatest mean is 167 cm from Year 11
Subtract those to find the range for the mean heights
21 cm
(c) Compare the ranges calculated in parts (a) and (b) and suggest a reason for any differences.
The range for the school (55 cm) is greater than the range for the mean heights (21 cm). The mean for each year group is an average for the year group, so it is in between the smallest and greatest values. Therefore the range of the means is less than the range for the entire school.
Control Charts
What is quality assurance?
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Quality assurance is a process used to make sure that manufactured products meet required standards
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e.g. that products sold by weight or volume contain approximately the correct amount of product
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It is usually impossible for each manufactured item to be exactly correct
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But they shouldn’t vary too much from the target values
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To assure quality, samples are taken at regular intervals
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and the means, medians and/or ranges of the samples are compared against target values
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What is a control chart?
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A control chart is a type of time series chart
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It allows the calculated results for samples to be recorded
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And it indicates whether any actions need to be taken
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The horizontal axis will show the sample number (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, …)
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The vertical axis will show the sample mean (or sample median or range)
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A horizontal line is drawn corresponding to the target value
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This is the value (weight, length, etc.) that a ‘perfect’ item would have
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Horizontal upper and lower action lines are drawn corresponding to the upper and lower action limits
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If a plotted value is above the upper action line (or below the lower action line)
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then the manufacturing process should be stopped
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and any machinery, etc., should be reset to bring it back within the target limits
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Horizontal upper and lower warning lines are drawn corresponding to the upper and lower warning limits
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If a plotted value is between the two warning lines
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then everything is assumed to be okay
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If a plotted value is between a warning line and its corresponding action line
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then everything might be okay
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but another sample should be taken right away to make sure there is not a problem
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For a properly functioning manufacturing process,
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almost all sample values will fall within the action limits
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So any values outside those limits indicate a likely problem
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most sample values (about 95%) will fall within the warning limits
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Any values outside those limits could just be random variation
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but it is worth checking another sample to make sure
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On a control chart for sample range usually only the upper warning and action limits will be shown
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This is because the target range is usually zero
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i.e. every item being the exact target weight or volume, with no variation
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So it is only a problem if the range becomes too large
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A control chart for sample range can spot problems that a chart using sample mean or median would not
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e.g. a very large and a very small data value can ‘cancel each other out’ when calculating the mean
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But you don’t want manufactured items being too different from the target value
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How do I find the action and warning limits to use on a control chart?
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You need to be able to calculate the warning and action limits for a control chart using the sample mean
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If the sample median or sample range is used then the question will tell you the limits to use
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The target value will be the mean (
) of the population
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The warning and action limits depend on the standard deviation (
) of the sample means distribution
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The warning limits are set two standard deviations above and below the mean
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