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Maths Gcse Aqa Higher

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  1. Scatter-Graphs-And-Correlation Aqa Higher
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  2. Cumulative-Frequency-And-Box-Plots Aqa Higher
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  3. Histograms Aqa Higher
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  4. Statistical-Diagrams Aqa Higher
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  5. Averages-Ranges-And-Data Aqa Higher
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  6. Combined-And-Conditional-Probability Aqa Higher
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  7. Tree-Diagrams Aqa Higher
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  8. Simple-Probability-Diagrams Aqa Higher
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  9. Transformations Aqa Higher
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  10. Vectors Aqa Higher
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  11. 3D-Pythagoras-And-Trigonometry Aqa Higher
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  12. Sine-Cosine-Rule-And-Area-Of-Triangles Aqa Higher
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  13. Pythagoras-And-Trigonometry Aqa Higher
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  14. Area-And-Volume-Of-Similar-Shapes Aqa Higher
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  15. Congruence-Similarity-And-Geometrical-Proof Aqa Higher
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  16. Volume-And-Surface-Area Aqa Higher
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  17. Circles-Arcs-And-Sectors Aqa Higher
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  19. Circle-Theorems Aqa Higher
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  20. Bearings-Scale-Drawing-Constructions-And-Loci Aqa Higher
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  22. Symmetry-And-Shapes Aqa Higher
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  23. Exchange-Rates-And-Best-Buys Aqa Higher
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  24. Standard-And-Compound-Units Aqa Higher
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  26. Problem-Solving-With-Ratios Aqa Higher
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  27. Ratios Aqa Higher
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  28. Sequences Aqa Higher
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  29. Transformations-Of-Graphs Aqa Higher
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  30. Graphing-Inequalities Aqa Higher
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  31. Solving-Inequalities Aqa Higher
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  32. Real-Life-Graphs Aqa Higher
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  33. Estimating-Gradients-And-Areas-Under-Graphs Aqa Higher
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  34. Equation-Of-A-Circle Aqa Higher
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  35. Functions Aqa Higher
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  36. Forming-And-Solving-Equations Aqa Higher
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  37. Graphs-Of-Functions Aqa Higher
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  38. Linear-Graphs Aqa Higher
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  39. Coordinate-Geometry Aqa Higher
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  40. Iteration Aqa Higher
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  41. Simultaneous-Equations Aqa Higher
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  42. Quadratic-Equations Aqa Higher
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  43. Linear-Equations Aqa Higher
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  44. Algebraic-Proof Aqa Higher
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  45. Rearranging-Formulas Aqa Higher
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  46. Algebraic-Fractions Aqa Higher
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  47. Completing-The-Square Aqa Higher
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  48. Factorising Aqa Higher
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  50. Algebraic-Roots-And-Indices Aqa Higher
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  52. Surds Aqa Higher
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  53. Rounding-Estimation-And-Bounds Aqa Higher
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  54. Fractions-Decimals-And-Percentages Aqa Higher
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  55. Introduction Aqa Higher
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  56. Simple-And-Compound-Interest-Growth-And-Decay Aqa Higher
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  57. Percentages Aqa Higher
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  58. Fractions Aqa Higher
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  59. Powers-Roots-And-Standard-Form Aqa Higher
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  60. Prime-Factors-Hcf-And-Lcm Aqa Higher
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  61. Number-Operations Aqa Higher
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Exam code:8300

Conditional probability

What is a conditional probability?

  • A conditional probability is the probability of something happening (A) given that something else has already happened (B)

    • It is written straight P open parentheses A vertical line B close parentheses

      • Pronounced “the probability of A given B

How do I calculate conditional probabilities?

  • Conditional probabilities must be out of a smaller restricted set of outcomes (not out of all possible events)

    • For example, if a computer randomly selects a digit from 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9

      • P(it select a multiple of three) = 3 over 9

      • This is not a conditional probability

      • There are 3 possibilities (3, 6, 9) out of all 9 possibilities

    • However, if you program the computer to only select from even numbers, then

      • P(it selects a multiple of three given that it selects an even number) = 1 fourth

      • 1 possibility (6) out of only 4 possibilities (2, 4, 6, 8)

      • This is a conditional probability, written P(multiple of 3 | even) = 1 fourth

Examiner Tips and Tricks

  • Look out for conditional probability questions within larger questions on two-way tables, Venn diagrams or tree diagrams

    • They often use the phrase given that

Worked Example

A Venn diagram is shown below. The numbers represent numbers of people.

When 1 random person is selected, find straight P open parentheses A vertical line B close parentheses, simplifying your answer.

<img alt=”Venn diagram with two overlapping circles, A and B. A has 20, intersection 42, B has 63. Outside both is 14.” class=”ContentBlock_figure__vJw2q” data-nimg=”1″ decoding=”async” height=”1602″ loading=”lazy” sizes=”(max-width: 320px) 320w, (max-width: 640px) 640w, (max-width: 960px) 960w, (max-width: 1280px) 1280w, 1920w” src=”https://cdn.savemyexams.com/cdn-cgi/image/f=auto,width=3840/https://cdn.savemyexams.com/uploads/2025/05/62043_venndiagramwe.png” srcset=”https://cdn.savemyexams.com/cdn-cgi/image/f=auto,width=16/https://cdn.savemyexams.com/uploads/2025/05/62043_venndiagramwe.png 16w, https://cdn.savemyexams.com/cdn-cgi/image/f=auto,width=32/https://cdn.savemyexams.com/uploads/2025/05/62043_venndiagramwe.png 32w, https://cdn.savemyexams.com/cdn-cgi/image/f=auto,width=48/https://cdn.savemyexams.com/uploads/2025/05/62043_venndiagramwe.png 48w, https://cdn.savemyexams.com/cdn-cgi/image/f=auto,width=64/https://cdn.savemyexams.com/uploads/2025/05/62043_venndiagramwe.png 64w

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