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Exam code:8300

Line of best fit

What is a line of best fit?

  • If a scatter graph suggests that there is a positive or negative correlation

    • a line of best fit can be drawn on the scatter graph

      • This can then be used to make predictions

How do I draw a line of best fit?

  • line of best fit is drawn on by eye

    • It is a single-ruled straight line

    • It must extend across the full data set

    • It does not need to pass through any particular point(s)

    • There should roughly be as many points on either side of the line (along its whole length)

  • If there is one extreme value (outlier) that does not fit the general pattern

    • then ignore this point when drawing a line of best fit

How do I use a line of best fit?

  • Once the line of best fit is drawn, you can use it to predict values

    • E.g. to estimate y when x = 5

      • Use the line to read off the y value when x is 5

  • It is best to use your line to predict values that lie within the region covered by the data points

    • This is called interpolation

  • Be careful: if you extend your line too far away from the data points and try to predict values, those parts of the line are unreliable!

    • This is called extrapolation

Examiner Tips and Tricks

  • Sliding a ruler around a scatter graph can help to find the right position for the line of best fit!

Worked Example

Sophie wants to know if the price of a computer is related to the speed of the computer.
She tests 8 computers by running the same program on each, measuring how many seconds it takes to finish.
Sophie’s results are shown in the table below.

Price (£)

320

300

400

650

250

380

900

700

Time (secs)

3.2

5.4

4.1

2.8

5.1

4.3

2.6

3.7

(a) Draw a scatter diagram, showing the results on the axes below.

Plot each point carefully using crosses 

A scatter diagram for time against price

 (b) Write down the type of correlation shown and use it to form a suitable conclusion. 

The shape formed by the points goes from top left to bottom right (a negative gradient)
This is a negative correlation
As one quantity increases (price), the other decreases (time)

The graph shows a negative correlation
This means that the more a computer costs, the quicker it is at running the program

(c) Use a line of best fit to estimate the price of a computer that completes the task in 3.4 seconds.

First draw a line of best fit, by eye
Then draw a horizontal line from 3.4 seconds to the line of best fit
Draw a vertical line down to read off the price 

A line of best fit drawn on a scatter diagram

A computer that takes 3.4 seconds to run the program should cost around £620
A range of different answers will be accepted,
depending on the line of best fit

Responses

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