7-3-1-physical-and-human-causes-of-water-insecurity

Global Pattern of Water Stress

There is an increasing mismatch between water supply and demand leading to:

• Water stress (below 1,700m³ per person)

• Water scarcity (below 1000m³ per person)

• Water scarcity can be economic or physical:

  • Economic scarcity occurs when there is water available but the infrastructure is not available to access the water

    • About 1.6 billion people face economic water scarcity

  • Physical scarcity occurs when there is greater demand for water than there is supply

    • An estimated four billion people face severe water scarcity for at least one month a year

• It is estimated by the UN that by 2025 over 65% of the world’s population could be living with water stress

• The World Economic Forum rates water crises as one of the greatest global threats

• An estimated 30% of groundwater systems are being depleted

Causes of Water Insecurity

• The causes of water scarcity are both physical and human:

  • Physical – variation in climate, salt water encroachment

  • Human – over-abstraction, water contamination, industrial pollution

Physical 

• Climate variation can lead to drought this reduces the amount of water available

• Salt water encroachment occurs due to sea level rise when freshwater sources are contaminated by seawater and so become saline

• Saltwater encroachment is an issue for coastal communities, particular island communities

  • Tuvalu has experienced damaged crops and a loss of income, further encroachment could affect deep-rooted crops such as coconut and taro

  • Saltwater encroachment in the Maldives threatens drinking water supplies and has also damaged crops

Human

• Over-abstraction occurs when more water is taken than is naturally replaced by precipitation

• Many countries around the world are affected by over-abstraction:

  • Jakarta and Beijing are sinking as a result of past over-abstraction of groundwater which is causing subsidence

• Over-abstraction from lakes and rivers is also an issue

  • Increased abstraction of water from the Nile by Ethiopia is decreasing the availability of water for Sudan and Egypt

Water contamination

• Over 2.4 billion people live without sanitation

  • A lack of sanitation is one of the leading causes of water contamination

  • In developing countries 90% of sewage flows untreated into water sources

• Agriculture discharges large quantities of agrochemicals, organic matter, drug residues and sediment into water sources

• As the world population increases so does the amount of agriculture, further increasing the agricultural pollution

  • In the EU almost 40% of water sources are impacted by agricultural pollution

  • Increased nitrates from fertiliser use leads to eutrophication

  • Cattle meat production has doubled since 1961 this leads to increased manure

  • Increased use of antibiotics and growth hormones move through animals into waste and then water systems

Industrial pollution

• Every year 300-400 megatonnes of waste is discharged by industry into the water system

• In many countries factory waste is discharged into water sources untreated due to a lack of regulations and a failure to challenge industries 

  • It is estimated that 80% of China’s groundwater is polluted

  • This has led 70% of rivers and lakes to be unsafe for human use

  • In India the Upper Doab region has been severely affected by industrial pollution

    • Heavy metals such as arsenic, mercury, lead, zinc, phosphate, sulfide, cadmium, iron, nickel and manganese were found in the water. These are linked with cancer, bone deformity, and stomach-related diseases

  • Oil refineries along the Gulf Coast in California have been found to be releasing pollutants which are contaminating nearby water sources

Pressure on Water Resources

• The finite water resource faces increasing pressure 

• Water use increases more rapidly than population – it is estimated that water demand will increase between 20-30% by 2050

• Population growth: there are now over 8 billion people 

  • Each person requires about 2 litres of clean drinking water a day to remain in good health

  • In addition 18 litres per person is needed for things like sanitation and cooking

  • As well as an increase in domestic water demand, population growth also increases the use of water for:

    • Energy production

    • Agriculture

    • Industry

• Economic development: as countries develop the demand for water increases because:

  • People have more items which use water such as dishwashers, toilets and showers

  • Industry increases and factories use large quantities of water

  • Intensive agriculture is needed as people eat more food, and irrigation systems use large quantities of water

  • As more people move to urban areas the demand for water for drinking and sanitation increases

The future and water stress

• The UN predicts that 5 billion people or two thirds of the world population will face at least one month a year of water shortages

• The future shortages will be the result of:

  • Climate change

  • Increased demand

  • Pollution 

• By 2040 Chile, Estonia, Namibia, and Botswana could face a significant increase in water stress 

  • In Chile the decrease in water availability is the result of rising temperatures and changing patterns in precipitation

• Almost half of the most likely water stressed countries are in the Middle East

• In the southwestern US water stress could increase between 40-70% by 2040

• The UN report expresses concerns regarding conflicts resulting from water shortages