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The Terms of Trade

  • Terms of trade refer to the ratio of a country’s average price of exports to the country’s average price of imports

  • The relative price of imports and exports can have a direct bearing on the standard of living within a country

    • Exporting goods which are highly priced results in higher incomes and the ability to buy cheaper imports

    • The terms of trade capture the relationship between the average prices of a country’s exports and imports

Calculation of the terms of trade

  •  Terms space of space trade space equals fraction numerator Index space of space average space export space prices over denominator Index space of space average space import space prices end fraction space cross times space 100

  • The index for exports and imports is created in much the same way that a consumer price index is created (using a weighted basket of imports and exports)

Worked Example

Calculate the terms of trade for Country X. State if the terms of trade have improved or worsened. In the final column explain what that means for country X

Year

 Index of average export prices 

Index of average import prices

Calculation of terms of trade

Terms of trade

Improvement or deterioration?

Explanation

2012

100

100

 

 

 

 

2013

100

107

 

 

 

 

2014

112

108

 

 

 

 

2015

115

110

 

 

 

 

Step 1: Identify the index year as this is the base year and complete calculations for the index year
The index year will be the year in which both the index for export and import prices is 100

Year

 Index of average export prices 

Index of average import prices

Calculation of terms of trade

Terms of trade

Improvement or deterioration?

Explanation

2012

100

100

100 over 100 cross times 100 space equals space

100

Base year

Both export and import index = 100

2013

100

107

 

 

 

 

2014

112

107

 

 

 

 

2015

115

110

 

 

 

 

Step 2: Calculate the terms of trade for each year and state if they have improved/deteriorated

Year

 Index of average export prices 

Index of average import prices

Calculation of terms of trade

Terms of trade

Improvement or deterioration?

Explanation

2012

100

100

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