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Lines-Of-Best-Fit Wjec-Eduqas Higher
Exam code:C300
Line of best fit
What is a line of best fit?
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If a scatter graph suggests that there is a positive or negative correlation
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a line of best fit can be drawn on the scatter graph
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This can then be used to make predictions
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How do I draw a line of best fit?
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A line of best fit is drawn on by eye
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It is a single-ruled straight line
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It must extend across the full data set
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It does not need to pass through any particular point(s)
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There should roughly be as many points on either side of the line (along its whole length)
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If there is one extreme value (outlier) that does not fit the general pattern
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then ignore this point when drawing a line of best fit
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How do I use a line of best fit?
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Once the line of best fit is drawn, you can use it to predict values
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E.g. to estimate y when x = 5
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Use the line to read off the y value when x is 5
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It is best to use your line to predict values that lie within the region covered by the data points
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This is called interpolation
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Be careful: if you extend your line too far away from the data points and try to predict values, those parts of the line are unreliable!
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This is called extrapolation
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Examiner Tips and Tricks
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Sliding a ruler around a scatter graph can help to find the right position for the line of best fit!
Worked Example
Sophie wants to know if the price of a computer is related to the speed of the computer.
She tests 8 computers by running the same program on each, measuring how many seconds it takes to finish.
Sophie’s results are shown in the table below.
|
Price (£) |
320 |
300 |
400 |
650 |
250 |
380 |
900 |
700 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Time (secs) |
3.2 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
(a) Draw a scatter diagram, showing the results on the axes below.
Plot each point carefully using crosses

(b) Write down the type of correlation shown and use it to form a suitable conclusion.
The shape formed by the points goes from top left to bottom right (a negative gradient)
This is a negative correlation
As one quantity increases (price), the other decreases (time)
The graph shows a negative correlation
This means that the more a computer costs, the quicker it is at running the program
(c) Use a line of best fit to estimate the price of a computer that completes the task in 3.4 seconds.
First draw a line of best fit, by eye
Then draw a horizontal line from 3.4 seconds to the line of best fit
Draw a vertical line down to read off the price

A computer that takes 3.4 seconds to run the program should cost around £620
A range of different answers will be accepted,
depending on the line of best fit
Responses