Exam code:9609
The distinction between risk and uncertainty
Uncertainty
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Business uncertainty is when a business cannot predict what is going to happen or directly influence it
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Uncertainty cannot be prepared for because it is unknown and cannot be measured
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Factors that typically cause uncertainty include:
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Environmental factors such as the Japanese Tsunami in March 2011
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Economic changes such as Covid lockdowns, Brexit or collapses in the banking system
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The entry of new competitors
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Changes in local and national legislation (laws)
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Changes in the political party governing the country
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Risk
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Risk can be measured, allowing business owners to make informed decisions before taking action
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Research, market insight and creating a business plan can help to reduce risk
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E.g. Awareness of increased demand for music on vinyl, extensive market research and a strong business plan convinced entrepreneurs Joel Magill and Will Greenham to set up Smugglers Records in the small seaside town of Deal
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Risk versus uncertainty

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Entrepreneurs have varying levels of risk they are willing to accept
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Risk-averse entrepreneurs may prefer to start small and achieve slow growth
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Some entrepreneurs may prefer to share risks with others in a partnership or protect their personal assets by forming a private limited company
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Successful entrepreneurs can manage risk and quickly respond to uncertainty in the business environment
An example of entrepreneurial response to uncertainty
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Brian Chesky (Airbnb Co-founder) Airbnb Response to the Covid-19 Pandemic |
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Business enterprise and the development of a country
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Government policy often includes support to entrepreneurs to encourage them to set up new businesses or take steps to grow their business
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The Philippine government recognises the contribution that small businesses make to its economy and offers a range of incentives to entrepreneurs, including
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Training programmes to equip business owners with the skills they need to operate an enterprise
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A streamlined application process for low cost government-supported loans
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Mentor initiatives where entrepreneurs are partnered with an expert who can provide advice on training and business development services
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The Go Loka! project, which provides product development training, access to a marketing platform and promotional events
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Exemptions from income tax and minimum wage law for a limited period
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How small businesses contribute to a country’s economic development
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Increase the country’s level of output to achieve economic growth |
Improve choice and service for consumers |
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Reduce the level of unemployment |
Social enterprises often support disadvantaged groups |
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Responses